Portfolio Prophet Reviews

By: Bill Poulos

ETFs are the new “hot ticket item” among investors and traders alike in today’s marketplace. However, the reality of the situation is that 90% of the people investing in ETFs are still losing their money over time.

Many of those people could learn how to become net winners over time by simply making a few tweaks to how they trade & invest. However, before we dive into the tactics for remedying the situation, I want to outline the five primary reasons people lose money trading ETFs.

Investing / Trading the “Wrong Way”
1.) Utilizing an outdated & obsolete “buy and hold” approach.

The buy and hold theory is flawed for two primary reasons; first, it assumes that you can’t properly time the market (entry & exit points).

Second, it assumes that the market will consistently grow on an annual basis. If there’s one thing that we’ve all learned in the past decade, it’s that the markets don’t always go up and more often than not they crash…sometimes in a very BIG way.

2.) Trading with an incomplete method (or worse yet, no method at all). Investing and trading much like professional sports is all about execution around a specific game plan.

If you don’t know what your edge is or what your limits are, then you’re not actually trading at all, you’re simply gambling.

3.) Going after profits first and thinking about risk second (if at all). Losing traders & investors let their “Greed” get the best of them. They get so enamored with the potential windfall that they start taking unnecessary risks

4.) Trying to capture entire market moves. The only way that a trader or investor is able to capture an entire market move is by sheer luck. There is just no clear definable strategy or indicator to pinpoint these exact positions on a chart.

5.) Trying to trade in every market regardless of condition. Not every market is ripe for trading. Non-deliberately trading markets greatly reduce the traders’ chances for success because market movement is indistinguishable. The best trading method in the world will yield little to no results in a market like this because the odds of success are stacked against you. It’s not your trading style…it’s simply the market.

Investing / Trading the “Right Way”
1.) Action oriented, engaged approach.

To avoid the pitfalls of the “buy and hold” investing strategy I recommend a more engaged approach to investing.

An active investor does have the ability to gauge when they should enter and exit a market. It’s simply a matter understanding how the market is currently moving and knowing the right time to get into and out of a trade.

All of which can be learned through proper education, disciplined trading and practice.

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Buy & Hold Strategy = 7.8% loss
Money tied up for 6 months with no exit strategy.

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Action Oriented Strategy = 10.7% profit
Money tied up for 2 months, clear and defined exit point, avoided the major market reversal.

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2.) Utilizing a complete Method such as the one from Portfolio Prophet. A professional trader knows the next move that he/she will make based on market activity. Trading ETFs, or any market for that matter, is all about setting yourself up to win, getting the odds in your favor before investing, and managing risk tolerance while in the trade. A sound trading strategy will employ at a minimum four primary points:

a. Specific Setup Conditions
b. Entry Rules
c. Initial Stop Rules
d. Exit Strategy Rules

If your trading strategy does not employ these four components at a minimum you need to reevaluate your strategy because your risk exposure is too high.

3.) Risk management first, trading second. Professional traders know that if you want a successful career in trading, risk control has to be the first component of your trading strategy. When you trade with a risk management strategy, you shield your portfolio from undue, potentially huge losses. Moreover, there is an understanding of how much loss may be incurred before the trade is ever placed. This understanding of the potential loss, leads to the acceptance of the risk and ultimately removes all emotion from the decision making process. If you can remove emotion entirely from the decision making process, you chances for success are greatly improved as are potential for profits.

4.) Trading the “Sweet-spots”. Rather than focus on major market movements or events caused by news events, I recommend trading the sweet-spots of a move. These are the middle one-third of a market move. When you go after the middle one-third of a market move, the probability of being able to know the direction of the prevailing trend is substantially higher…This gives you a trading edge.

5.) Trade deliberate markets. Deliberate markets display a clear identifiable pattern in their movements. You can confidently make a trade within these markets because you know that they odds are in your favor that they will continue to move accordingly. These are the markets where your trade and investment dollars will do the most work for you. The key, obviously, is to know when to get out and/or the movement pattern has finished. You can easily see the difference between a deliberate and non-deliberately trading market below:

Non-Deliberately Trading Market
Market is choppy; there are long stemming candles and shadows. This tells us that the market doesn’t know what it wants to do.
Too much risk involved with a trade – Steer clear of these markets at all costs.

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Deliberately Trading Market
Market moves in a consistant pattern. Candles and shadows are relatively short and there are little to no gaps in one day’s close and the next day’s open. A safe and reliable market to invest your money.

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The difficult part for a trader / investor who is looking at moving their skill set to the next level is the time and effort it takes to learn and practice the discipline. That is why I designed my all new educational course entitled, “The Portfolio Prophet”, to help traders / investors like you simplify the process of learning how to get that edge in the market and take your trading to the next level.

This is easily the easily the safest and most effective trading methods that I have ever seen. And to make the process even simpler, I have created custom trade alert software that literally spoon feeds you trade opportunities based on the trading strategies mentioned above.

Good Trading,

Bill Poulos

About the Author: Bill Poulos has over 35 years of trading experience and is an investment educator with thousands of happy students from around the world and many success stories to his accolade. Established in 2001, he and his company have contributed much to development of the independent investor and trader within the Forex, Stocks and ETF markets. A retired automotive engineer, Bill holds a degree in industrial engineering and a master’s degree in Business Administration, with a major in finance, and has been involved in trading since the year 1974.